Gretna vs Peterhead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gretna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2004 |
STR
3 - 2
GRE
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
MON
1 - 4
GRE
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
GRE
5 - 1
THE
78%
15%
8%
|
57 | 24 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
GRE
0 - 1
CWB
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
STI
0 - 1
GRE
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2004 |
PET
3 - 1
ELG
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
PET
1 - 1
QUE
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
CWB
0 - 3
PET
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
THE
0 - 3
PET
17%
23%
60%
|
60 | 24 | 36 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
PET
5 - 0
ALB
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |