Gretna vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
6.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gretna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2005 |
GRE
1 - 2
FOR
80%
14%
6%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
DUM
0 - 1
GRE
18%
22%
60%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
GRE
3 - 0
PET
71%
18%
12%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
GRE
4 - 0
ALL
83%
12%
5%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
PAR
3 - 3
GRE
28%
24%
48%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
AYR
2 - 0
DUM
43%
27%
31%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
AYR
2 - 5
STI
38%
26%
35%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2005 |
AYR
2 - 1
FOR
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2005 |
GRE
2 - 1
AYR
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
ALL
0 - 4
AYR
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |