Gretna 2008 vs Selkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
22%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gretna 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
SEL
0 - 2
GRE
52%
20%
28%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 1
STI
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
THE
0 - 1
GRE
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
GRE
3 - 2
DAL
34%
23%
43%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
EDA
1 - 5
GRE
54%
20%
26%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +3 |
Matches
Selkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
SEL
0 - 2
GRE
52%
20%
28%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SEL
0 - 3
THE
36%
22%
42%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
AFC
1 - 2
SEL
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
SEL
1 - 4
EAS
25%
23%
53%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
BAN
2 - 0
SEL
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |