Gretna 2008 vs Kelty Hearts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
75.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gretna 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 5
EDA
31%
22%
47%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
BER
2 - 1
GRE
51%
21%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 2
STI
42%
23%
35%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
EAS
2 - 0
GRE
82%
13%
5%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
GRE
3 - 3
GAL
41%
23%
37%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Kelty Hearts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
KHE
11 - 0
VAL
93%
6%
2%
|
48 | 17 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
KHE
1 - 0
EAS
58%
21%
22%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
KHE
7 - 1
AFC
91%
7%
2%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
EAS
0 - 1
KHE
46%
23%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
THE
0 - 1
KHE
35%
23%
42%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |