Gretna 2008 vs AFC Edinburgh University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
46.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gretna 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CWB
3 - 0
GRE
81%
13%
6%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 2
RFC
4%
10%
86%
|
13 | 54 | 41 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CIV
4 - 1
GRE
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 4
CFC
5%
13%
82%
|
14 | 48 | 34 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GRE
7 - 2
AFC
18%
20%
62%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
AFC Edinburgh University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
EAS
2 - 3
AFC
89%
9%
2%
|
15 | 51 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
CWB
3 - 0
AFC
78%
15%
7%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 6
CUM
16%
19%
65%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CBF
5 - 0
AFC
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 3
SPA
10%
16%
74%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | -1 |