Gretna 2008 vs East Stirlingshire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
76.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gretna 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
BRA
6 - 2
GRE
90%
8%
2%
|
22 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 2
GRE
11%
16%
72%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
BER
1 - 1
GRE
64%
19%
18%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
STI
2 - 0
GRE
70%
17%
14%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
DAL
2 - 2
GRE
37%
23%
40%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
East Stirlingshire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
THE
2 - 0
CUM
83%
12%
6%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
BER
2 - 1
THE
11%
17%
73%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
THE
0 - 1
RFC
45%
23%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
THE
1 - 0
VAL
90%
7%
3%
|
47 | 9 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
GAL
0 - 3
THE
28%
22%
50%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |