Gretna 2008 vs Civil Service Strollers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
69.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gretna 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 5
RFC
5%
14%
81%
|
15 | 51 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
SPA
2 - 1
GRE
86%
10%
4%
|
15 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
GRE
3 - 3
CFC
5%
14%
81%
|
15 | 49 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
BFC
3 - 1
GRE
80%
13%
8%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 1
DAL
12%
18%
70%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Civil Service Strollers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 2
CIV
18%
20%
62%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CIV
1 - 2
EAS
14%
19%
67%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CIV
0 - 1
RFC
12%
19%
69%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
SPA
4 - 2
CIV
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
BER
3 - 1
CIV
38%
23%
39%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -2 |