Gresley vs Spalding United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
BRI
2 - 2
GRE
33%
26%
41%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2005 |
GOO
2 - 3
GRE
23%
24%
53%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
GRE
2 - 0
EAS
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
OSS
2 - 1
GRE
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
GRE
0 - 0
KID
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Spalding United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
FLE
2 - 1
SPA
80%
14%
7%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2005 |
BEL
2 - 2
SPA
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
SPA
2 - 2
WAR
43%
25%
32%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
CLI
2 - 1
SPA
50%
24%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
SPA
0 - 0
EAS
28%
25%
47%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |