Gresley vs Shepshed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
58%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 4
RET
13%
20%
66%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
GOO
3 - 1
GRE
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 3
RUS
19%
25%
56%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
BEL
4 - 0
GRE
79%
15%
7%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 2
GLA
21%
22%
57%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 0
SHE
64%
18%
18%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
SHE
1 - 1
GRA
33%
25%
42%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
WIL
6 - 1
SHE
46%
25%
30%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
GRA
4 - 2
SHE
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
SHE
0 - 3
LIN
54%
24%
22%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |