Gresley vs Shepshed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
SHE
1 - 2
GRE
31%
27%
42%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
GRE
1 - 1
STO
39%
27%
35%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
SKE
1 - 2
GRE
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
GRE
2 - 1
CHO
68%
19%
12%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
GRE
1 - 0
HAR
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
SHE
1 - 2
GRE
31%
27%
42%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
CAM
4 - 2
SHE
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
SHE
0 - 1
ROU
38%
27%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
WOS
6 - 3
SHE
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
OSS
3 - 2
SHE
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |