Gresley vs Shaw Lane Aquaforce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 2
BED
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
NEW
3 - 0
GRE
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GRE
4 - 1
SPA
35%
24%
41%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 2
MAR
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 3
GRE
34%
23%
43%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Shaw Lane Aquaforce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
SLA
5 - 2
LIN
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
LOU
0 - 3
SLA
12%
17%
71%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SLA
2 - 0
SCA
74%
15%
11%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SLA
2 - 1
CAR
85%
10%
5%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
STO
1 - 0
SLA
25%
23%
52%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |