Gresley vs Romulus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
33.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 0
CHA
34%
25%
41%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 0
GRE
71%
16%
13%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
SLA
5 - 3
GRE
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 2
NOR
30%
24%
46%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BED
1 - 0
GRE
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Romulus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
ROM
2 - 3
SLA
12%
20%
68%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ROM
0 - 3
RUG
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
STA
4 - 2
ROM
50%
23%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ROM
1 - 2
LEE
43%
24%
33%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
STO
1 - 0
ROM
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |