Gresley vs Corby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.5%
38.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
8º
19º
16º
64
3º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
86 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
75 | 75 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
65 | 68 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
5º
|
66 | 67 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
64 | 67 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
64 | 65 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
|
7º
|
64 | 65 |
9º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
51 | 52 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
11º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 48 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
71% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 42 |
14º
|
34% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 42 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
38 | 41 |
16º
|
46.5% | |
|
17º
|
35 | 35 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
24 | 24 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
6 | 6 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 94% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LOU
0 - 0
GRE
61%
20%
20%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 2
HAR
29%
22%
50%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BED
3 - 0
GRE
25%
23%
52%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 0
CHA
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
YAX
2 - 3
GRE
14%
18%
68%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Corby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
COR
2 - 2
SPO
37%
22%
41%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SUT
1 - 5
COR
43%
23%
35%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
COR
3 - 0
DER
46%
23%
32%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
SPA
2 - 2
COR
57%
22%
21%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HAL
3 - 2
COR
65%
19%
17%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |