Gresley vs Carlton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
WIT
3 - 1
GRE
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 1
BEL
27%
23%
50%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 0
STO
15%
19%
66%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 1
GRE
15%
18%
67%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 2
SPA
28%
24%
49%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Carlton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
ROM
1 - 1
CAR
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
RUG
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
BAS
2 - 1
CAR
69%
18%
14%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 1
CHA
32%
24%
44%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 1
CAR
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |