FA Trophy . 1/512
Global 4-2
Gresley vs Carlton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
46.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
GRE
63%
21%
16%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 1
BRA
20%
22%
58%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 1
GRE
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 1
SUT
23%
23%
54%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +3 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
GOO
1 - 3
GRE
34%
24%
42%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Carlton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
GRE
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 1
NEW
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 0
MAT
51%
24%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
BEL
0 - 1
CAR
66%
19%
16%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
BRI
1 - 2
CAR
27%
23%
50%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |