Gresford Athletic vs Caersws analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gresford Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
GRE
3 - 0
PEN
75%
15%
10%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
DEN
0 - 1
GRE
46%
24%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CON
1 - 2
GRE
24%
22%
55%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
GRE
3 - 1
BUC
85%
11%
5%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
RTW
1 - 4
GRE
19%
22%
59%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CAE
0 - 2
CAE
10%
16%
75%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
PRE
3 - 2
CAE
85%
10%
5%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
HOL
1 - 1
CAE
58%
19%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
RTW
6 - 2
CAE
18%
21%
61%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
CAE
1 - 0
BUC
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |