Paulista B Eliminatorias. Semi-finals
Global 3-4
Grêmio Sãocarlense vs União São João analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
60.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Sãocarlense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
GDS
66%
20%
15%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
GDS
3 - 0
UNI
51%
25%
25%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 1
GDS
30%
25%
45%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GDS
0 - 0
UNI
49%
25%
27%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
AME
1 - 2
GDS
28%
23%
50%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
GDS
66%
20%
15%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
NAC
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 0
UNI
22%
22%
56%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
NAC
65%
19%
16%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
SJS
0 - 1
UNI
15%
19%
66%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |