Copa Paulista Final Stages Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Grêmio Prudente vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
56%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Prudente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 2
GRE
48%
26%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 0
MIR
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 2
MAR
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
COM
1 - 2
GRE
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 1
NOR
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
POR
2 - 0
SAO
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
POR
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
BER
69%
21%
10%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
SAO
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
POR
21%
26%
53%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |