Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1972 |
NAU
1 - 1
GRE
34%
24%
42%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
CRB
0 - 2
GRE
23%
25%
52%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
GRE
1 - 0
AMF
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1972 |
GRE
1 - 1
CRZ
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1972 |
SAN
3 - 2
GRE
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1972 |
VAS
0 - 0
PAL
41%
24%
35%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
VAS
1 - 0
CRZ
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
VAS
1 - 1
SAN
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1972 |
AMF
0 - 0
VAS
40%
24%
36%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
VAS
0 - 0
BOT
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |