Grêmio vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
42.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 1
SCI
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 0
GRE
56%
25%
20%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
SCI
2 - 0
GRE
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 1
PAY
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
BOT
2 - 1
GRE
39%
27%
35%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAO
55%
25%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
COR
0 - 0
SAO
32%
26%
42%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAO
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
SAO
0 - 0
CRZ
49%
24%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
PAR
0 - 2
SAO
30%
25%
45%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |