Grêmio vs Santa Cruz RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
GRE
1 - 0
SLU
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
ESP
2 - 2
GRE
17%
21%
62%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
GRE
1 - 2
FAR
87%
10%
3%
|
72 | 35 | 37 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
FAR
0 - 0
GRE
9%
17%
74%
|
72 | 35 | 37 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
GRE
3 - 1
ESP
82%
13%
6%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
FAR
1 - 1
SAN
41%
24%
36%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 0
SLU
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
VER
2 - 1
SAN
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
SAN
3 - 1
VER
28%
23%
49%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2006 |
SLU
0 - 1
SAN
64%
19%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |