Grêmio vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
GRE
1 - 3
AME
61%
23%
16%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
SCI
1 - 0
GRE
53%
26%
21%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
OPE
0 - 3
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
RIO
0 - 0
GRE
19%
25%
56%
|
90 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1979 |
GRE
4 - 0
SPO
68%
20%
12%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1979 |
ATP
0 - 1
SAN
30%
30%
41%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
SAN
0 - 0
COT
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1979 |
SAN
1 - 2
SCI
53%
24%
22%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1978 |
SAN
1 - 2
SCI
49%
25%
26%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Jul. 1978 |
SCI
1 - 0
SAN
61%
23%
16%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |