Grêmio vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 1997 |
POR
3 - 0
GRE
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1997 |
GRE
1 - 1
UNI
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 1997 |
GOI
6 - 0
GRE
39%
26%
36%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1997 |
GRE
0 - 0
SAO
55%
24%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1997 |
GRE
2 - 1
CRZ
59%
24%
17%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 1997 |
PAR
4 - 0
BRA
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1997 |
PAR
2 - 0
SAN
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 1997 |
UNI
0 - 2
PAR
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1997 |
PAR
2 - 1
SPO
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1997 |
SCI
3 - 0
PAR
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |