Grêmio vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
14.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
MAR
2 - 2
GRE
43%
24%
33%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
GUA
2 - 0
GRE
55%
24%
22%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1982 |
DES
1 - 0
GRE
19%
27%
54%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
GRE
1 - 0
ECS
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
GRE
2 - 0
ATM
45%
27%
28%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
GUA
2 - 0
NAU
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
NAU
3 - 0
MAR
41%
24%
35%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1982 |
NAU
0 - 0
TRE
67%
20%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1982 |
FLA
1 - 1
NAU
81%
13%
6%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1982 |
SAO
1 - 1
NAU
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |