Grêmio vs Cruzeiro RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.3%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
16.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
18.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
20.1%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.2%
2.5%
Win probability
0.29
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 0
CAX
79%
14%
6%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
PEL
1 - 3
GRE
9%
19%
72%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 0
LAJ
86%
11%
3%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
CFC
2 - 1
GRE
28%
27%
45%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
GRE
4 - 1
CFC
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CRU
1 - 2
NOV
35%
27%
39%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
LAJ
1 - 0
CRU
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CRU
0 - 1
PAS
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CRU
1 - 1
SCI
12%
22%
66%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
CRU
0 - 1
ESP
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |