Grêmio vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
GRE
3 - 1
COT
56%
25%
19%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
PPE
0 - 0
GRE
35%
29%
37%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
AIM
0 - 2
GRE
10%
22%
67%
|
84 | 46 | 38 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
COT
0 - 1
GRE
39%
29%
33%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 1
JEC
64%
23%
13%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
GRE
3 - 1
COT
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
COT
1 - 0
CHA
44%
28%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
COT
0 - 1
GRE
39%
29%
33%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
VAS
0 - 1
COT
46%
26%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
COT
2 - 1
PAL
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |