Grêmio vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
9.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
CUI
1 - 2
GRE
22%
28%
50%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
FLU
0 - 1
GRE
33%
28%
39%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
JUV
0 - 1
GRE
17%
27%
57%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 1
BRA
76%
16%
9%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 0
JUV
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
PAL
3 - 0
CEA
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
CEA
0 - 0
SPO
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 0
SAN
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BOT
2 - 2
CEA
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 0
CEA
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |