Grêmio vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.9%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
4.2%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
CEA
3 - 2
GRE
28%
26%
46%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
EQU
0 - 0
GRE
21%
25%
53%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 1
SCI
64%
20%
16%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
ARA
2 - 6
GRE
9%
24%
67%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
SCI
1 - 2
GRE
48%
25%
27%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
BRA
3 - 1
RDA
80%
15%
6%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
RDA
0 - 2
BRA
11%
23%
66%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
BRA
4 - 0
GAM
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CEI
1 - 1
BRA
13%
20%
67%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
LUZ
0 - 5
BRA
16%
22%
62%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |