Grêmio vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SAO
0 - 0
GRE
36%
28%
37%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
GRE
3 - 1
BOT
73%
18%
10%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 1
GRE
43%
27%
30%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 1
COT
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 1
SCI
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 2
AME
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
JUN
1 - 1
AME
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
AME
3 - 0
PAT
63%
23%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
ENV
1 - 1
AME
28%
26%
46%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
AME
3 - 1
AGU
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |