Grêmio Osasco vs Sertãozinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
30.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 1
GRE
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 0
MAT
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 1
GUA
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
GRE
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 1
SJS
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ATI
1 - 0
SER
47%
23%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
SER
4 - 0
COM
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 0
SER
50%
23%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
SER
1 - 0
FER
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 0
SER
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |