Grêmio Osasco vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
IND
1 - 1
GRE
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
MIR
0 - 0
GRE
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 1
SAO
28%
27%
46%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ITU
3 - 0
GRE
56%
23%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 0
RBB
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
IND
1 - 1
GRE
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 0
IND
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
IND
2 - 1
MIR
24%
22%
54%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
INT
0 - 0
IND
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
IND
1 - 0
SAO
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |