Maringá vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 0
CIA
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CIA
1 - 0
GRE
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 1
SAM
18%
23%
59%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 1
IND
61%
20%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
CIA
0 - 3
GRE
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CAC
1 - 2
MAR
13%
19%
69%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
CAC
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 1
MAR
32%
27%
42%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
CHA
13%
22%
65%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
BRU
16%
23%
61%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |