Maringá vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
36.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maringá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CAB
2 - 1
GRE
37%
26%
38%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ITU
1 - 0
GRE
52%
26%
21%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
GRE
3 - 0
CAB
61%
22%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
BRA
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
GRE
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ITU
1 - 0
GUA
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ITU
1 - 0
GRE
52%
26%
21%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
ITU
22%
27%
52%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
CAB
2 - 1
ITU
21%
27%
53%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
ITU
0 - 1
BRA
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -3 |