Grêmio Jaciara vs Itumbiara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Jaciara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2007 |
ITU
3 - 1
GRE
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
GUA
1 - 2
GRE
20%
25%
56%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
GRE
0 - 1
VIL
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
CEC
2 - 0
GRE
39%
25%
35%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
GRE
0 - 1
CEC
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Itumbiara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2007 |
ITU
3 - 1
GRE
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
VIL
2 - 0
ITU
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
ITU
2 - 0
GUA
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
ATL
2 - 3
ITU
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
ITU
1 - 3
ATL
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |