Grêmio Barueri vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
55.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 1
GRÊ
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
VFC
4 - 1
GRÊ
20%
22%
58%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
SAO
77%
14%
8%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
BAN
2 - 1
GRÊ
19%
21%
60%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
FEL
2 - 1
GRÊ
15%
20%
65%
|
63 | 31 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2009 |
COR
1 - 0
FLU
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
FLU
1 - 0
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
FLU
1 - 1
GOI
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
GOI
2 - 2
FLU
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
FLU
3 - 0
AGU
84%
12%
4%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | 0 |