Grêmio Barueri vs Cotia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
TAU
2 - 1
GRÊ
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SJS
2 - 2
GRÊ
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
INT
25%
26%
50%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 0
GRÊ
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
ITA
42%
27%
31%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cotia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 0
COT
64%
21%
14%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
COT
1 - 2
TUP
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 2
COT
60%
23%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 2
COT
56%
23%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
COT
1 - 0
BAR
41%
26%
34%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |