Greifswalder vs Bentwisch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
12.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greifswalder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
TEN
2 - 0
GRE
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
LIC
4 - 2
GRE
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
BEN
2 - 0
GRE
18%
21%
61%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -3 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
NEU
1 - 1
GRE
30%
25%
45%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
GRE
2 - 5
GSC
81%
12%
7%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Bentwisch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
BEN
3 - 0
BAK
54%
22%
23%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
BEN
2 - 0
GRE
18%
21%
61%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +5 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
BEN
4 - 2
BSC
36%
24%
40%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
TOR
4 - 3
BEN
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
BEN
0 - 2
LFC
49%
24%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |