USL1 Temporada Regular. Jor. 26

Greenville Triumph vs North Carolina analysis

Greenville Triumph North Carolina
54 ELO 55
-8.7% Tilt -3.6%
2815º General ELO ranking 2412º
53º Country ELO ranking 43º
ELO win probability
41.2%
Greenville Triumph
25.7%
Draw
33.1%
North Carolina

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
Greenville Triumph
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.1%
Win probability
North Carolina
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Greenville Triumph
-12%
+8%
North Carolina

Points and table prediction

Greenville Triumph
Their league position
North Carolina
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
12º
63
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Union Omaha
65
65
100%
North Carolina
63
63
100%
Northern Colorado
62
62
100%
Charlotte Independence
49
49
100%
Greenville Triumph
48
48
100%
Forward Madison
43
43
100%
Tormenta
42
42
100%
One Knoxville
38
38
100%
Lexington
32
32
100%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
10º
31
31
10º
100%
Richmond Kickers
11º
29
29
11º
100%
Fuego FC
12º
23
23
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Greenville Triumph
North Carolina
Final Series
0% 100%
Play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

Greenville Triumph
North Carolina
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Greenville Triumph
Greenville Triumph
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 2023
LSC
Lexington
1 - 1
Greenville Triumph
GTR
14%
21%
66%
55 28 27 0
27 Aug. 2023
GTR
Greenville Triumph
1 - 2
Union Omaha
OMA
35%
28%
37%
56 59 3 -1
24 Aug. 2023
GTR
Greenville Triumph
2 - 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves
CRW
58%
24%
19%
55 48 7 +1
20 Aug. 2023
NCO
Northern Colorado
0 - 0
Greenville Triumph
GTR
51%
25%
24%
55 57 2 0
13 Aug. 2023
CAR
North Carolina
2 - 1
Greenville Triumph
GTR
41%
25%
33%
56 52 4 -1

Matches

North Carolina
North Carolina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Sep. 2023
OMA
Union Omaha
4 - 3
North Carolina
CAR
55%
24%
22%
55 60 5 0
02 Sep. 2023
CAR
North Carolina
2 - 1
Fuego FC
CVF
67%
19%
14%
54 44 10 +1
27 Aug. 2023
CAR
North Carolina
1 - 2
Northern Colorado
NCO
43%
26%
31%
54 58 4 0
20 Aug. 2023
RIC
Richmond Kickers
1 - 3
North Carolina
CAR
39%
26%
36%
53 52 1 +1
13 Aug. 2023
CAR
North Carolina
2 - 1
Greenville Triumph
GTR
41%
25%
33%
52 56 4 +1
X