Greenock Morton vs Third Lanark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1918 |
HIB
0 - 3
GRE
21%
22%
57%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1918 |
GRE
3 - 2
AIR
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1918 |
AYR
1 - 5
GRE
18%
22%
59%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1918 |
GRE
2 - 2
KIL
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1918 |
STM
2 - 2
GRE
38%
27%
36%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1918 |
CLY
1 - 1
TLA
37%
23%
40%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1918 |
CEL
3 - 1
TLA
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1918 |
CLY
1 - 1
TLA
20%
22%
58%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1918 |
TLA
1 - 1
MHE
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1918 |
FAL
4 - 5
TLA
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |