Greenock Morton vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
HIB
1 - 0
GRE
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 1
FAL
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
GRE
5 - 0
ELG
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 3
DUM
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 3
ROT
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
BLA
1 - 2
STM
35%
24%
41%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
STM
1 - 2
DUM
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
GLA
3 - 1
STM
64%
20%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
STM
0 - 5
SHW
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
STM
3 - 1
BER
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |