Greenock Morton vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
37%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 2
ARB
34%
29%
37%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 2
AYR
40%
27%
34%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ICT
0 - 1
GRE
61%
24%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 0
DUN
26%
27%
47%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
RAI
2 - 1
GRE
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
RAI
3 - 2
AYR
49%
25%
27%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 2
AYR
40%
27%
34%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
AYR
3 - 1
DUN
25%
27%
48%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
COV
1 - 2
AYR
61%
22%
18%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
AYR
2 - 2
HAM
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |