Greenock Morton vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
HAM
2 - 1
GRE
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 1
GRE
58%
24%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
GRE
3 - 4
STM
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
RAI
1 - 1
GRE
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 1
LIV
30%
26%
45%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
AYR
0 - 1
BLA
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
AYR
2 - 1
RAI
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
AYR
1 - 0
ICT
28%
24%
48%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
AYR
2 - 2
FAL
42%
27%
32%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
DUN
1 - 1
AYR
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |