Greenock Morton vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
14.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
AYR
2 - 1
GRE
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
GRE
3 - 0
DUM
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2004 |
BER
2 - 2
GRE
35%
26%
38%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 2
ALL
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
BRE
2 - 1
GRE
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2005 |
ARB
0 - 4
STR
31%
27%
43%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2005 |
ARB
0 - 2
FOR
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2004 |
STI
0 - 3
ARB
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
ALL
4 - 2
ARB
64%
20%
17%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
ARB
1 - 1
BER
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |