Austrian Bundesliga Round 4

Grazer AK vs Sturm Graz analysis

Grazer AK Sturm Graz
74 ELO 78
-10.6% Tilt -4.2%
707º General ELO ranking 554º
14º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
39.6%
Grazer AK
27%
Draw
33.4%
Sturm Graz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
Grazer AK
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.4%
Win probability
Sturm Graz
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Grazer AK
-19%
+9%
Sturm Graz

ELO progression

Grazer AK
Sturm Graz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Grazer AK
Grazer AK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Aug. 1985
LAS
LASK
1 - 3
Grazer AK
GRA
68%
19%
13%
73 79 6 0
13 Aug. 1985
GRA
Grazer AK
1 - 2
Austria Klagenfurt
AUK
50%
26%
25%
74 75 1 -1
09 Aug. 1985
SSW
SSW Innsbruck
1 - 1
Grazer AK
GRA
67%
20%
13%
75 80 5 -1
07 Jun. 1985
GRA
Grazer AK
3 - 3
Rapid Wien
RAP
35%
27%
38%
76 82 6 -1
31 May. 1985
RBS
Salzburg
3 - 1
Grazer AK
GRA
46%
27%
27%
76 67 9 0

Matches

Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Aug. 1985
STR
Sturm Graz
3 - 1
FC Linz
LIN
63%
22%
16%
77 73 4 0
13 Aug. 1985
SAL
Salzburger AK
0 - 0
Sturm Graz
STR
33%
25%
42%
78 61 17 -1
09 Aug. 1985
STR
Sturm Graz
0 - 0
Leoben
LBN
73%
17%
10%
79 64 15 -1
07 Jun. 1985
AUS
Austria Wien
4 - 1
Sturm Graz
STR
62%
20%
18%
80 82 2 -1
04 Jun. 1985
AUS
Austria Wien
5 - 0
Sturm Graz
STR
66%
17%
17%
81 82 1 -1