Europa League Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Grasshopper vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
17.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1978 |
BAS
2 - 5
GCZ
60%
19%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
GCZ
0 - 1
SER
57%
20%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1978 |
GCZ
1 - 0
EIN
45%
22%
33%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1978 |
GCZ
2 - 0
NEX
72%
15%
13%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
ZUR
1 - 2
GCZ
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1978 |
NÎM
2 - 0
BAS
31%
26%
42%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1978 |
CZJ
4 - 2
BAS
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1978 |
BAS
0 - 0
SOC
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1978 |
MET
0 - 0
BAS
39%
26%
36%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1978 |
BAS
7 - 2
CZJ
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |