Grasshopper vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
57.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
6º
11º
11º
40
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grasshopper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
LAU
1 - 1
GCZ
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
GCZ
1 - 3
SER
30%
24%
46%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
SCF
6 - 1
GCZ
70%
19%
12%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
STA
2 - 1
GCZ
40%
24%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
GCZ
2 - 1
SCA
40%
23%
37%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
TOB
1 - 2
BAS
26%
24%
50%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
BAS
5 - 2
WIN
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 3
TOB
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
STG
2 - 1
BAS
36%
24%
41%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
OLD
0 - 3
BAS
5%
13%
83%
|
84 | 38 | 46 | 0 |