Grasse vs Fréjus St-Raphaël analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
17.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
7º
3º
36
1º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grasse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
OLY
0 - 0
GRA
32%
27%
42%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 1
AND
53%
25%
23%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
THO
0 - 0
GRA
40%
25%
34%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 0
HYE
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
LPV
2 - 1
GRA
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
FRE
36%
28%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 0
BOU
63%
23%
14%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 0
SPO
47%
27%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 0
OLY
47%
26%
28%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
JUR
2 - 0
FRE
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |