Grapiuna Itabuna vs Vitória da Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
60.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+272%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grapiuna Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
COL
0 - 2
GRA
52%
24%
24%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
GRA
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 0
FLU
19%
19%
62%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
GAL
0 - 0
GRA
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
GRA
2 - 0
JEC
18%
19%
63%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +4 |
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 0
FLU
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
ADL
0 - 3
VIT
84%
11%
5%
|
39 | 73 | 34 | +3 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 1
GAL
72%
17%
12%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 1
UNI
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
JUA
1 - 1
VIT
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |