GRAP vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
74.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GRAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
GRA
0 - 3
OLE
10%
17%
73%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
GRA
0 - 4
MAR
9%
15%
76%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 0
GRA
79%
14%
8%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
GRA
1 - 2
UDL
6%
13%
81%
|
12 | 43 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
BEN
3 - 0
GRA
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 1
SER
27%
25%
48%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
SER
2 - 1
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
SER
0 - 0
ALC
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
SER
1 - 1
BEN
33%
27%
41%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
OLE
2 - 1
SER
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |