Grănicerul vs Tarigrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
52.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
4º
12º
12º
34
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 49 |
2º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 48 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 48 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 46 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 45 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 45 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 41 |
8º
|
99% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 38 |
9º
|
99% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 1 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grănicerul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
EFV
1 - 0
GRA
59%
19%
22%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
0 - 2
CFS
17%
17%
66%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FCP
2 - 2
GRA
64%
18%
18%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 3
SIN
9%
17%
74%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FCE
1 - 1
GRA
86%
10%
4%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Tarigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FCT
2 - 0
CFR
86%
10%
5%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ARO
1 - 0
FCT
26%
21%
53%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCO
1 - 3
FCT
56%
20%
24%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FCT
1 - 2
VCU
49%
21%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCV
1 - 0
FCT
40%
22%
38%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |